<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\uc694\uc2dd\uc5c5(2\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85), \ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4(2\ub9cc1\ucc9c\uba85), \uc0ac\ud68c\uc9c0\uc6d0(1\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85) \ub4f1 \uc5c5\uc885\uc774 \uc791\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc791\ub144 10\u223c11\uc6d4 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac10 \ud3ed\uc740 \ucd1d 7\ub9cc6\ucc9c\uba85 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144 10\uc6d4 \uc99d\uac10 \ud3ed\uc774 10\ub9cc5\ucc9c\uba85 \uac10\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c 17\ub9cc3\ucc9c\uba85 \uac10\uc18c\ub85c 6\ub9cc8\ucc9c\uba85 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\uace0, \uc791\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc99d\uac00 \ud3ed\uc740 6\ub9cc4\ucc9c\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c 5\ub9cc6\ucc9c\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c 8\ucc9c\uba85 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2025\ub144 \uc5f0\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc6d4\ud3c9\uade0 4\ub9cc9\ucc9c\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc6d4\ud3c9\uade0 16\ub9cc8\ucc9c\uba85 \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uac83\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9c0\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ud55c\ud3b8 \uc791\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.4%\ub85c \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc9d1\uacc4 \uc804\ubb38\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(4.5%)\ub3c4 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc791\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \uc885\uc804 4.6%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.5%\ub85c 0.1%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\ucc38\uac00\uc728\uc740 62.4%\ub85c \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 0.1%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.3% \uc62c\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 3.8% \uc62c\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd(3.6%)\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc6d4\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \uad00\ud574 \ub2e4\uc18c \ud63c\uc7ac\ub41c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub2f4\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc6b0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc57d\ud654\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc77c\ubd80 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uace0 \uc0ac\ud6c4 \uc218\uc815\uc774 \uc7a6\uc740 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218 \ud1b5\uacc4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uad00\ud574 \ub354 \ud3ec\uad04\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc758 \uae30\ubc18\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uac00\uacc4\uc870\uc0ac\ub294 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218\ub97c \ud30c\uc545\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc870\uc0ac\uc640\ub294 \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\uba70, \uc870\uc0ac\ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub098 \ud45c\ubcf8\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub450 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uad34\ub9ac\ub418\ub294 \uc77c\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc774\ubc88 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac00\uacc4\uc870\uc0ac \uae30\uc900 \uc804\uccb4 \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 23\ub9cc2\ucc9c\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \uae30\uc5c5\uc870\uc0ac\uc640 \uad34\ub9ac\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ucd5c\uadfc \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc77c\uba85 ‘\ud574\uace0\ub3c4 \uc5c6\uace0 \ucc44\uc6a9\ub3c4 \uc5c6\ub294'(no hire, no fire) \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc591\uc0c1\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc6d4\uac00\ub294 \uc774\ub0a0 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uc62c\ud574 1\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub780 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud55c\uce35 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud574 3\uc5f0\uc18d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub9c8\uce58\uace0 \uc0c8\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uba70 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcfc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c(CME)\uc758 \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ub0a0 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc624\ub294 1\uc6d4 27\u223c28\uc77c FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud604 3.50\u223c3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 95%\ub85c \ub192\uc5ec \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ud558\ub8e8 \uc804 \uc774 \ud655\ub960\uc740 89%\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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