\u25a0 \uac08\ud321\uc9c8\ud321 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\uc57d 3\ub144 \uc804 \u2018\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\u2019(Fed)\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub300\ud3ed \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\uc744 \ub54c, S&P500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ud574\uc678 \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud604\uc0c1\uc740 2000\ub144\ub300 \ucd08 \ub2f7\ucef4 \ubc84\ube14 \ubd95\uad34 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2e0\ud765 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\ub4e4\uc740 \ud3ed\ub77d\uc744 \uba74\uce58 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. 1980\ub144\ub300\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uae30\uc5c5 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uae09\uc131\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\uccb4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 2023\ub144\uacfc 2024\ub144, 2\ub144\uac04\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. S&P500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ub450 \ud574 \ud569\uc0b0 \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 52%\ub098 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \ub9d0 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \u2018\ubd88 \ub9c8\ucf13\u2019(Bull Market)\uc744 \uc2e4\ud604\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 1\uc6d4 \ubc31\uc545\uad00\uc5d0 \ubcf5\uadc0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uaddc\uc81c\ub97c \uc2dc\ud589\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc774 100%\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc\ub85c \uc11c\ub85c \uc704\ud611\ud558\uba74\uc11c 2025\ub144 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc138\uacc4 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub3c4 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ub418\ucc3e\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u25a0 \uacbd\uc81c \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\uc791\ub144 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc678\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 DXY \uc9c0\uc218 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 10% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\ub984\ucca0 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ub418\ucc3e\uc558\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8\uc81c\uc11c\uc57c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc5b4\ub4dc \ud504\ub77c\uc774\ube57 \uc6f0\uc2a4 \ub9e4\ub2c8\uc9c0\uba3c\ud2b8\uc758 \ub85c\uc2a4 \uba54\uc774\ud544\ub4dc \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub294 \u201c2025\ub144 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \uc904\uc778 \uac83\uc740 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \uacbd\uc81c \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ucc3e\uc544 \ub098\uc11c\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \uac01\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uae08\uac12\uc740 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc740, \uad6c\ub9ac, \ubc31\uae08 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\ub978 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ud2b9\ud788 \ud22c\uc790 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uac00 \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6d\uac00 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc678\uad6d \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \uae08\uc561\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ud22c\uc790 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ub298\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790 \uc9c0\ubd84\uc744 \ucd95\uc18c\ud560 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \ub610, \uc77c\ubd80 \uc678\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ud22c\uc790 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u25a0 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uacac\uc778 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc99d\uc2dc<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\ud574\uc678 \uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 \uc791\ub144 \ucd08 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. S&P500\uc740 2023\ub144\uacfc 2024\ub144\uc5d0 \ub450 \ud574\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub294\ub370, \u2018\ub9e4\uadf8\ub2c8\ud53c\uc13c\ud2b8 7\u2019\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac\ub294 \uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3, \uc544\ub9c8\uc874, \uc560\ud50c, \uba54\ud0c0, \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8, \uc5d4\ube44\ub514\uc544, \ud14c\uc2ac\ub77c \ub4f1\uc758 \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uac00 \uc8fc\uac00\ub97c \uacac\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ucd5c\uadfc \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc99d\uc2dc \uc5ed\uc2dc \uae30\uc220 \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \ud55c\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uae30\uc220 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5 \uad00\ub828 \uad00\uc2ec \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ud61c\ud0dd\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud55c\uad6d \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc0bc\uc131\uacfc \uba54\ubaa8\ub9ac \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc5c5\uccb4 SK\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4\uc758 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc544\ub798 \uc791\ub144 \ubb34\ub824 \uc57d 70%\ub098 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2c8\ucf00\uc774225 \uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 \ub450 \uc790\ub9bf\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae30\uc220 \ud22c\uc790\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc0c8 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591\uc744 \uc57d\uc18d\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ubc18\uba74 \uc99d\uc2dc \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc720\ub7fd \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub9cc\ud07c \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. U.S. \ubc45\ud06c\uc758 \ud1b0 \ud5e4\uc778\ub9b0 \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub294 \u201c\uc720\ub7fd \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \uacbd\uae30 \uc21c\ud658\uc801 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uba70, \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ud655\uc7a5\uacfc \uc218\ucd95\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc0ac \u2018\ud30c \ud06c\ub808\uc2a4\ud2b8\u2019(FarrCrest)\uc758 \ub9c8\uc774\ud074 \ud30c \ud68c\uc7a5\ub3c4 \u201c\uc720\ub7fd \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \uc608\uce21\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc218\uc775\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubc00\uc811\ud558\uac8c \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\u201d\ub77c\uba70, \u201c\uc720\ub7fd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud0c0\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ub0ae\uc740 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u25a0 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\uace8\ub4dc\ub9cc\uc0ad\uc2a4 \ub9ac\uc11c\uce58\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 15\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uac15\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc62c\ud574\ub3c4\ub3c4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uac15\uc138\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ud574\uc678 \uc8fc\uc2dd \ubaa8\ub450 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uacfc \uae30\ucd08 \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uac00 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\ud30c \ud06c\ub808\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \ub9c8\uc774\ud074 \ud30c \ud68c\uc7a5\uc740 \u201c\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \uc800\ub834\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \ud574\uc678 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \ub098\uc740 \ud22c\uc790 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0 \uc138\uacc4 \uc99d\uc2dc \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \uc99d\uba85\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\uba70 \u201c\ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 AI \uc911\uc2ec \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub41c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \ub208\uc744 \ub3cc\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\uc624\ud314 \uce90\ud53c\ud138\uc758 \uc6e8\uc778 \uc704\ucee4 \ub300\ud45c\ub294 \u201c\ub9e4\uadf8\ub2c8\ud53c\uc13c\ud2b8 7\uc774 \ub208\ubd80\uc2e0 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub0c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \u2018\uc774\uc81c \ub2e4\ub978 \uacbd\uc81c\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654\ud560 \ub54c\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc678 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc800\ub834\ud558\ub2e4\u2019\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\u201d\uba70 \u201c2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u25b6 \ubbf8\uad6d \u2018\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc790\uc0b0\u2019 \uc758\uc874\u2193\u25b6 \uc624\ub77d\uac00\ub77d \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45 \u25b6 \uacbd\uc81c \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u25b6 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39687,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"WB4WB4WP_MODE":"","WB4WP_PAGE_SCRIPTS":"","WB4WP_PAGE_STYLES":"","WB4WP_PAGE_FONTS":"","WB4WP_PAGE_HEADER":"","WB4WP_PAGE_FOOTER":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[2282],"class_list":["post-39686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-2282"],"yoast_head":"\n
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