{"id":4669,"date":"2023-07-29T10:52:50","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T14:52:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreatimesphila.com\/?p=4669"},"modified":"2023-07-29T10:52:56","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T14:52:56","slug":"expectations-for-a-soft-landing-in-the-u-s-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreatimesphila.com\/en\/expectations-for-a-soft-landing-in-the-u-s-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uacbd\uc81c \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959 \uae30\ub300\uac10\u2026 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc131\uc7a5 \uacac\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc62c 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 2.4%<br>\u25b6 \ud22c\uc790 7.7%\u00b7\uc18c\ube44 1.6%\u2191<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub118\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ubc84\ud300\ubaa9 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\uace0 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uae30\ub300 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uc7a5\ub824\ud558\ub294 \ubc14\uc774\ub4dc\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \ub204\ub974\ub824\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \ud589\ubcf4\uac00 \ub300\ub9bd\ud558\ub294 \ud615\uad6d\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\ub3c4 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc5f0\ubc29 \uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 2\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uc774 \uc5f0\uc728 2.4% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\ub09c 27\uc77c \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc62c 1\ubd84\uae30(2.0%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc131\uc7a5 \ud3ed\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8\ud1b5\uc2e0\uc774 \uc9d1\uacc4\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 1.8%\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc640 \uae30\uc5c5\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5 \ucd95\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 3\ubd84\uc758 2\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc5f0\uc728 1.6% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30(4.2%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc740 \ub454\ud654\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc804\uccb4 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc911 \uc808\ubc18(1.12%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)\uac00\ub7c9\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uae30\uc5c5\ud22c\uc790\ub294 \uae09\uc99d\ud588\ub2e4. 2\ubd84\uae30 \ubbfc\uac04\uc758 \ube44\uc8fc\uac70 \ubd80\ubb38 \ud22c\uc790\ub294 \uc5f0\uc728 7.7% \ub298\uc5b4 1\ubd84\uae30 0.6%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uae30\uc5c5\ud22c\uc790 \uc720\uce58 \uc815\ucc45 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc800\ub110(WSJ)\uc740 \u201c\uc5f0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc81c\uc870 \uacf5\uc7a5\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uae30\uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uacf5\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uae08\uc744 \uc918 \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uc720\uce58\ud55c \uac83\uc774 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \ud658\uacbd \ub4f1 \ud22c\uc790\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \ub9cc\ud55c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc555\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc774 \uae30\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. GDP\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE)\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 2.6% \uc62c\ub77c 1\ubd84\uae30\uc758 4.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(3.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3c8\ub2e4. GDP\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 1.9%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud574 1\ubd84\uae30 3.8%\uc758 \uc808\ubc18 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2\ubd84\uae30 GDP \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ud070 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc5c6\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubaa9\uc18c\ub9ac\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud68c\uacc4 \uae30\uc5c5 RSM\uc758 \uc218\uc11d\uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc778 \uc870\uc9c0\ud504 \ube0c\ub8e8\uc218\uc5d0\ub77c\uc2a4\ub294 \u201c\uacbd\uc81c \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc758 \uc815\uc758\ub97c \uc54c\uace0 \uc2f6\ub2e4\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \ub41c\ub2e4\u201d\uba74\uc11c \u201c\uc808\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uace0\ud558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uce68\uccb4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubd80\uc815\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ubc31\uc545\uad00\uc740 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \ubc14\uc774\ub4dc\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub77c\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub0a0 \ubc31\uc545\uad00 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uacbd\uc81c\uc790\ubb38\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd \ube14\ub85c\uadf8\uc5d0\uc11c \u201c\uc81c\uc870 \uc2dc\uc124\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uac00 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc804\uccb4 GDP \uc131\uc7a5 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 3\ubd84\uc758 1 \uc774\uc0c1 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4\u201d\uba70 \u201c\uc774\ub294 40\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \ube44\uc911\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\uc774\ub4dc\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\uac00 \uc791\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc99d\uac70\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uba38\ub9bf\uc18d\uc740 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc5c5\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \ub298\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\ub3c4 \ub2a6\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uac70\ub098 \uace0\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uace0\ucc29\ub418\ub294 \ubd80\uc791\uc6a9\ub3c4 \ubc30\uc81c\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8\uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\ubbf8\uad6d\uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc778 \uc560\ub098 \uc6e1\uc740 \u201c2\ubd84\uae30 GDP\ub294 \ud655\uc7a5\uc801 \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud3b4\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub824\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub178\ub825\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 \ud798\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\u201d\uba70 \u201c\ub9cc\uc57d \uacbd\uae30 \uce68\uccb4\uac00 \ubbf8\ub904\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub824\uc57c\ub9cc \ud558\uba70 \uc774\uc758 \uc6d0\uc778\uc740 \ubc14\uc774\ub4dc\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc77c\uac01\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959 \uae30\ub300 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc801\ub3c4 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 3.6%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544 \uc778\ub825 \uc218\uae09\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ub370\ub2e4 \uc18c\ube44 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ucd08\uacfc \uc800\ucd95\uc774 \uc18c\uc9c4\ub418\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uaed8 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. TF\uc99d\uad8c\uc758 \uac90\ub098\ub514 \uace8\ub4dc\ubc84\uadf8 \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub294 \u201c1990\ub144\uacfc 2000\ub144\u00b72007\ub144 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub9c9\uae38\uc744 \uac77\uae30 \uc9c1\uc804\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uade0\uc5f4\uc744 \uc815\ud655\ud788 \ud30c\uc545\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uba70 \uce68\uccb4\ub97c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc62c 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 2.4%\u25b6 \ud22c\uc790 7.7%\u00b7\uc18c\ube44 1.6%\u2191 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub118\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c 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